President William Ruto has recorded 45.1 per cent in a new presidential preference survey, while public opinion on the direction of the country remains almost evenly split, according to findings released by Politrack Africa.
The survey, conducted between September 15 and 25, captures the political mood ahead of the 2027 General Election, according to Emmanuel Kutosi, Data Reporting Officer at Politrack Africa.
The poll covered 20,419 respondents across all counties and was weighted against 22.1 million registered voters.
Kutosi said the findings show Ruto maintaining a solid plurality in the presidential preference tally.
“President William Ruto leads the national presidential preference tally at 45.1%, maintaining a solid plurality across the country. Emerging as a formidable challenger in second place is Hon. Edwin Sifuna, who secured 19.6% support,” he said.
Kalonzo Musyoka follows with 10.3 per cent, while Fred Matiang’i has 7.2 per cent and Rigathi Gachagua 6.0 per cent.
George Wajackoyah records 1.1 per cent, Martha Karua and David Maraga 0.8 per cent each, James Orengo 0.4 per cent and Jimmy Wanjigi 0.3 per cent.
The survey leaves 8.4 per cent undecided on presidential preference.
On the broader question of Kenya’s direction, the findings show a much narrower gap.
Some 45.2 per cent of respondents said Kenya was moving in the right direction, while 44.6 per cent said it was moving in the wrong direction. Another 10.2 per cent were unsure.
The findings also present contrasting views of government performance. Housing and Roads each recorded 16.3 per cent among areas identified as major successes. Health services, SHIF and SHA followed at 13.0 per cent, while Agriculture recorded 10.0 per cent.
However, the fight against corruption attracted 19.2 per cent among areas of criticism. Health services, SHIF and SHA management followed at 18.4 per cent, while the economy and cost of living recorded 12.0 per cent.
At party level, UDA records 32.0 per cent, followed by DCP at 11.7 per cent and ODM at 10.6 per cent.
Jubilee has 6.9 per cent, Wiper 5.6 per cent, Kenya Kwanza 3.5 per cent and Azimio 3.2 per cent.
The survey also records 9.1 per cent who declined to state their party preference, 7.3 per cent with no party affiliation and 2.3 per cent who were unsure.
The figures offer a snapshot of political and public sentiment during the September fieldwork period, rather than an election result.
